كيفية استخدام حاسبة التوقعات

1. Enter your win rate — Historical winning trade percentage
2. Average win — Mean profit from winning trades
3. Average loss — Mean loss from losing trades
4. Trades per month — Your typical trading frequency
5. Starting capital — Current account balance

ما هي توقعات التداول؟

Expectancy tells you how much you can expect to earn (or lose) per trade on average. It’s the single most important metric for evaluating a trading system.

Formula: Expectancy = (Win% × Avg Win) - (Loss% × Avg Loss)

Interpreting Your Results

• Positive expectancy — Your strategy makes money over time ✅
• Negative expectancy — Your strategy loses money over time ❌
• R-Multiple — Expectancy normalized by risk (0.5R+ is good, 1R+ is excellent)

Example

A strategy with 55% win rate, $250 avg win, $100 avg loss:

• Expectancy = (0.55 × $250) - (0.45 × $100) = $137.50 - $45 = $92.50 per trade
• At 20 trades/month = $1,850/month

إخلاء المسؤولية عن المخاطر

CFD trading involves significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Expectancy is calculated from historical data and may not reflect future performance.

الوسيط الموصى به

Build a positive expectancy strategy with a reliable broker. UZFX — 46+ instruments, competitive spreads, $10 minimum.